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The Defeat of Iran in Lebanon

For the second straight week Iranian troops have failed to secure a breakout in the Southern Lebanon Theater in its war against Israel. The Iranian armed forces inability to secure air supremacy in the Southern Lebanon sector of the war has doomed thousands of its ground troops to a certain death at the hands of the superior Israeli forces who are operating virtually unimpeded from their bases in Israel. Israeli forces have now either destroyed or secured all the key re-supply locations into Lebanon from sea and land, leaving Iranian troops operating in Southern Lebanon without hope of rescue. Israeli Artillery units operating on the border continue to use counter-battery strategies against the launch of the highly inaccurate and ineffective World War II Russian Katushya rockets. While Iran has fired a high number of missiles, they have produced almost no results, while Israel has pounded the Iranian armed forces daily, removing nearly 55% of Iranian ground forces without the use of Israeli ground troops.

Iranian troops, who have previously used the local Lebanese population as human shields have found this strategy less than effective since the start of the war due to the local Lebanese population evacuating the area for territories to the north that are out of the control of Iran. While Iran continues to use civilian hospitals and homes as cover for its missile batteries, this strategy has not deterred the Israelis from attacking and destroying a large number of the these sites. It appears that Iran committed a strategic mistake by not bringing any form of Anti-Aircraft systems with its troops into Southern Lebanon.

As Israel has continued to call up its reserves and stage the vast supplies necessary for preparation of a new ground initiative in Lebanon which will be used to separate the Iranian troops from their safe havens in Syria, neither Iran or Syria have been able to offer any strategic force or method to stop what is certain to be a solid defeat of the Iranian initiatives in Southern Lebanon.

It appears that once again the Arab world is about to suffer from another humiliating military defeat at the hands of the Israelis. Incompetence in Iranian military and civilian leadership and its armed force made incapable of dealing with the modern battlefield tactics when placed against the competent and determined forces of Israel appear to have dashed the dreams of the Iranian government in its long standing desire to confront and destroy Israel.

Since the start of the Iranian adventure in Lebanon, Arab and Muslim governments around the world have worked to distance themselves from the latest Persian attempt to unify the Muslim world behind the banner of war against Israel. In one shocking example of a lack of Arab Muslim unity, Al-queda spokesman have refused to to support the aims of the Iranians. Since the start of the Iranian adventure, Al-queda spokesman have remained strangely silent in the Arab press. This latest Iranian effort at Muslim unity appears to have backfired badly as no government in the region has agreed to support or give sympathy for the Iranian adventure. No government has agreed to supply troops or supplies to Iran, Lebanon or Syria in what can only be called a clear rebuke to the Iranian initiative. One unintended effect of this war is that stock markets throughout the Persian Gulf region have fallen drastically, causing no end of bad will in the governments that sit just across the waterway from Iran.

Once again the spectral headline images of defeated Arab troops throwing off their uniforms and melting in with the local populace looms large in the minds of Muslims around the world.

Unlike the wars of the 1960’s and the 1970’s, it does not appear that there will be any “Cease Fire” to save Arab honor from disaster. In this war, the United States and the United Nations seem prepared to take the actions necessary to ensure the defeat of Iran and Syria by Israel in Southern Lebanon.

Posted @ July 18, 2006 10:17 AM | Current Affairs

Posted by: leelu at July 19, 2006 08:57 AM