On the Receiving End

How do I know the "Get Out The Vote" machine in full swing?

Well, my phone has received a phone call every hour for the past two days. I enjoyed the Ben Stein call, but the rest just go right to the delete button. It's not that they are bad, its just that theres nothing more annoying the someone still trying to sell you when you've already bought the car.

There is one other thing I've noticed. All the calls are for Republicans and Republican issues. I havent received a single call or pamphlet from the Democrats for their candidates or issues in over a week. Its as if the Democrats ran out of ammo a week early. If it wasnt for the Media making up news to cover for them, they wouldnt have hardly any visibility at all.

UPDATE: Welcome Instapundit-eers!

I would think if there is anything to this "Democrat Wave" idea, you would see it reflected in the Doolittle-Brown race in my district (CA-4), but I just havent seen it.

It's as weak a race as I've ever seen for this district from the Republicans and yet the incumbent candidate Doolittle has always managed to maintain a respectable lead on his opponent and its not because Doolittles opponent is less than capable, he's actually pretty solid. The Democrats have worked their tails off in this district and they have spent a good deal of money to try to take the seat.

In my opinion, based on what I see and hear, all that work and money just hasnt paid off. I may be completely wrong in 48 hours, but it doesnt look to me like this seat is going to flip to the other side.

It seems to me that the money spent here might have gone to better use elsewhere for Democrats. It seems to me that early on in the campaign the Democrats put their strategy on the 'Abramoff scandal' as the key pivot-point of this election, and here we are in the last 48 hours of the campaign and it doesnt seem to have been the reason that anyone is making their decisions for who to vote for. I think that if the Democrats dont achieve their goals on Tuesday, a lot of people are going to blame Kerry, but I think the train might have come off the rails way back when the "Tie them to Abramoff" strategy was made.

I dont think a its a good working campaign strategy for Democrats to try to tie their opponents to a scandal that they then have to spend 20 minutes trying to explain to the voter, only to get a dismissive "oh they are all crooks" waveoff from the voter. It comes down to the old chiche of "Yes, Congress is a bunch of idiots, but my cogressman is a different, He's a pretty good guy".

When I ask people about what their decisions are going to be based on, Abramoff doesnt even move the needle on the average persons 'shock-o-meter'.

I think if Democrats can't win here, then they cant win anywhere and this whole "Democrat wave" thing is a creation of wishful media thinking, like so much of this election so far seems to have been.

My "I'm not to be listened to as a prognisticator because I dont know nuthin..." prediction is the Doolittle will win CA-4, but unlike most years, this year he really had to work hard to keep his seat. Why anyone, anywhere in their right mind would ever want to run for office is completely beyond my comprehension.

Democrats may salute themselves afterwards as having forced Republicans to spend money in previously uncompetitive districts, but that is what losers always say when they lose.

Posted @ November 05, 2006 02:43 PM | Current Affairs

Comments

HEre in mid-Michigan, the situation is reversed. I received one Republican phone call about a month ago. Lately, I've been getting about one Democratic phone call per day.

Posted by: Gene Dillenburg at November 5, 2006 08:55 PM

we have one person in the household registered as a Demo, and have been receiving 10 calls a day for the last 5 days.

dumbasses are waisting their money, and it's ok by me!

Posted by: roberto at November 5, 2006 09:17 PM

Simple answer: You live in a district that is gerrymandered to be dead-dog GOP, as do I, but your congresscritter has grown fat and sassy in his position, and the opposition has pegged him for defeat.

However, they have chosen in your district to do so with a false-flag candidate who refuses to put his party affiliation anywhere on his literature or website, and preaches the "conservative values" line whilst standing on streetcorners with Steve Pearcy and Cindy Sheehan, the local press has decided (with one glaring exception) to ignore.

Thus the, er, gentle reminders. To convince the "Anybody But (_________)" folks like myself to get out and vote for (__________) anyway, and perhaps try to defeat (_________) when primary season comes around, because they ain't gonna like at all what Mr. False Flag is going to do with San Fran Nan.

Posted by: JD at November 5, 2006 09:35 PM

Only two phone calls - both R. Mail has been a torent of R paper, however. Not a blessed thing from the D. Might they have spent all their $ on TV and radio?

Posted by: Major John at November 5, 2006 09:43 PM

Up till a week ago, it was roughly 50-50, and the call rate was about one a day, so it was monday - republican call, tuesday, democrat, and so on.

Now its nothing but Republican. I notice the paperwork has fallen off from Dems as well.

Posted by: Frank Martin at November 5, 2006 09:55 PM

I've message you occasionally before, normally I don't post anonymously. John Smith is not my real name.

My most annoying call to date was from the union I have to belong to (more to follow)

Posted by: John Smith at November 6, 2006 03:21 AM

I'm in the NY20, one of the ones targetted by the Democrats. The mail has been about 2-1 D:R for the past month. I've gotten calls from Hilliary and Mario this weekend. The letters to the editor are running about 4:1 D:R. I may end up with a woman who claims to be middle class but was paid a salary of $663,000 last year and refuses to release her husband's financials. Funny, at raising tax time, $200,000 is "The Rich".

Posted by: Harry at November 6, 2006 03:59 AM

We live in a majority black zipcode in Milwaukee's inner city. The Dems must have noticed that their hold on the area is weakening, as we've just started getting calls from them about the governor's race. Oddly, education was mentioned. It is the govorner's opposition to school choice which will be the decider if in fact he loses the urban vote.

Posted by: triticale at November 6, 2006 04:13 AM

I have received no Democrat calls. I have only received Republican calls - at least 1 a day on at least 1 of my lines.

Posted by: Craig T. at November 6, 2006 07:22 AM

continued
I don't know what your system doesn't like about my comment, it keeps blocking for questionable content.
No sales scams, no foul language, just a comment about the union I have to belong to and the Brown/Doolitle race.

Posted by: John Smith at November 6, 2006 07:42 AM

I don't answer my phone anymore....they can send their beams through the phone now, and I just don't want to chance it right before election time.

Posted by: TBinSTL at November 6, 2006 02:28 PM